The fourth fight on the main card at UFC Fight Night 231 will see Rodrigo Nascimento take on Don’Tale Mayes. This will be a fight in the heavyweight division. Nascimento comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-1. He is 4-1 in the UFC, most recently defeating Ilir Latifi via split decision in May of this year. Nascimento averages 4.20 critical strikes per minute and has an impressive 49% accuracy. He uses 4.60 strikes and has an impressive 40% defense. He also proved to be an excellent tackler, averaging 1.58 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.9 submission attempts over the same period. His takedown accuracy is 41% and his takedown defense is 75%.
Mayes comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-5. He is 5-4 in the UFC, most recently defeating Andrei Arlovski via KO/TKO in June of this year. Mayes averages 3.39 critical strikes per minute and has an impressive 43% accuracy. He still has 3.73 strikeouts and has an impressive 44% save percentage. His tackles were good, averaging 0.89 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 46% and his takedown defense is 56%.
Nascimento is the clear favorite in this fight, but the likely outcome of this fight is a long shot. Mayes has seen 11 of his 16 fights go the distance, while Nascimento has seen 9 of his 11 fights do the same. Since both fighters have high finish rates, and backing this fight to end within the range will be our game.